What’s Going On? (Spring 2019 Presentation)

Author: Jess Mears, National LP Membership & Social Media Manager

Presentation link: https://drive.google.com/open?id=1_azYbO5yDQBm7yJHYsSf82yxFzlJWz2R

Presentation made at the MdLP Convention, 28 April 2019

  • America & history of third parties

      1. George Washington’s warning (president 1789-1797)
      2. America has been a two-party system since 1852 (SOURCE)  (SOURCE)
      3. Decline in affiliated voters
      4. States and partisan voter registration
      5. Voter affiliation totals
      6. Voter registration by party graph
      7. Global partisanship

  • How the LP was formed

      1. Where does the term “libertarian” come from? (SOURCE)
      2. 1971 & Richard Nixon
      3. Libertarian Party founding (SOURCE)
      4. Women’s suffrage marches
      5. March on Washington for Jobs & Freedom 1963 (SOURCE)
      6. Vietnam war protests (SOURCE)
      7. Kent State

  • Brief history of LP elections

      1. Notable elections

  • 2016 Elections

      1. When each 2016 LP candidate announced
      2. Writing on the wall with Weld (SOURCE)
      3. Bill Weld vouches for Hillary Clinton
      4. How did Trump get elected? (SOURCE)
      5. What did Johnson Weld campaign do right and wrong
      6. Map of election results

  • 2018 Elections

      1. Early warning signs of the #bluewave
        1. Foxall
        2. Drew Gray Miller
      2. AOC primary win
        1. Voter Turnout (SOURCE)
        2. Democratic recruiting machines
      3. Justice Democrats (SOURCE)
        1. Saikat Chakrabarti
          1. Money concerns (SOURCE)
        2. AOC commercial
        3. AOC favorability level is on par with Donald Trump (SOURCE)
        4. AOC top villain (SOURCE)
        5. Focus on gentrifying communities (SOURCE)
      4. Blue Wave
        1. Democrats win 39 house seats/Vote margin for US house (SOURCE)
          1. 380 state leg flip red to blue (SOURCE)
        2. Democratic Recruiting Machines (SOURCE)

  • LP results

        1. 2018 election wins
        2. Defectors
        3. US Senate top votes
          1. Gary Johnson
          2. Lucy Brenton
        4. US House
          1. Jeffrey Blunt
        5. 100% of the vote (provided by Bob Johnston)
        6. Apollo Pazell (SOURCE)
          1. Targeted Races (SOURCE)
          2. Bethany Baldes (SOURCE)
        7. Jeff Hewitt (SOURCE)

  • Number of current elected officials

        1. Partisan vs non-partisan
        2. Defectors & re-election
        3. Mayors & vice mayors on a map
          1. Levi Tappan        Page, AZ Mayor
          2. Beau Woodcock    Milliken, CO Mayor
          3. Martin Sullivan    Frostproof, FL Mayor
          4. Jason Marlowe    Newberry, FL Mayor
          5. Freddie Odom        Bluffton, GA Mayor
          6. Tami Wessel        Brookport, IL Mayor
          7. Shawn Ruinsinoja    St. Bonifacious, MN Mayor
          8. Steve McCluskey    McLain, LA Mayor
          9. Timothy Russell    Emlenton Borough, PA Mayor
          10. Bill Woolsey        James Island, SC Mayor
          11. Stephen Chambers    Trousdale, TN Mayor
          12. Ed Tidwell        Lago Vista, TX Mayor

  • 2020 Forecast

    1. Trump
      1. Revenue (SOURCE)
      2. Trump warchest (SOURCE)
      3. Trump approval ratings (SOURCE)
    1. Democrats
      1. Democrats stat: Forty percent (40%) of Democrats say it is not possible for them to like and respect someone who supports (SOURCE).
      2. 2020 Convention in Milwaukee
      3. Debates
        1. Qualifying criteria (SOURCE)
        2. First in June hosted by  NBC/Telemundo/MSNBVC
        3. Second in July by CNN
        4. Prior to 1960-no televised debates, none in 64,68, 72, resumed in 1976
          1. No 2020 debates helps Trump
      4. FOX will not host (SOURCE)
        1. 56% of people think the DNC should allow FOX to host a debate per Rassmussen (SOURCE)
        2. Fox hires Donna Brazile as a contributor, she was ousted from CNN in 2016 (SOURCE)
      5. Organizing Corps 2020
      6. Issues
        1. Medicare for All
          1. Veterans are not receiving adequate care (SOURCE)
        2. $15-per-hour national minimum wage and higher taxes for the 1 percent are at least receiving more discussion among Democrats after years of Clintonian centrism.
        3. Global warming
        4. Some major donors are getting concerned (SOURCE)
      7. Swing Left

  • Legislative Victories

      1. Overton window
      2. Civil asset forfeiture – 3 states abolished
        1. https://reason.com/blog/2019/03/14/arkansas-legislature-unanimously-votes-t
      3. Voting Alternatives
        1. Voter Choice Mass
      4. Marijuana decriminalization
      5. Marriage equality
      6. Dying with dignity
      7. Constitutional carry
      8. Free market wins: Uber
      9. Anti-death penalty
      10. De-militarization of police
      11. Sex work
      12. Occupational licensing reform
      13. Laura Ebke “model legislation” by the Wall Street Journal editorial board (SOURCE)

  • New York Times quote (SOURCE)

  • Jess’s Random Tips

      • Add TV pundits and people being interviewed to linkedin
      • Save phone numbers with LP in the front-save all!
      • Before donating massive dollars to campaigns, ask to see the plan
      • GOOGLE ALERTS